UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Ursinus 3
  
Ursinus               
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 91.6641

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Moravian Landmark ( 7- 5, 88.6) 14- 4 225 H Neumann Atlantic East ( 4- 6, 86.7) 15- 7 228 H Stevenson MAC Commonwea ( 6- 5, 90.4) 16- 5 304 A Rowan NJAC (10- 2, 95.7) 7-15 307 A TCNJ NJAC (10- 1, 94.0) 7-16 311 H Alvernia MAC Commonwea ( 2-10, 81.3) 20- 1 314 A Christopher Newport Coast to Coas ( 9- 4, 94.5) 4-21 317 N Worcester State MASCAC ( 6- 6, 83.2) 20- 4 321 A Haverford Centennial ( 8- 4, 93.8) 7-17 325 H Widener MAC Commonwea ( 7- 5, 88.9) 14- 8 328 A Dickinson Centennial ( 7- 6, 90.6) 9- 5 404 H Gettysburg Centennial ( 6- 5, 96.4) 8-18 406 H Washington College Centennial ( 9- 3, 93.4) 13-17 415 A Swarthmore Centennial (10- 2, 93.9) 418 H Muhlenberg Centennial ( 9- 2, 95.1) 422 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 3- 8, 95.2) 425 A McDaniel Centennial ( 5- 7, 84.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Moravian               14- 4      10     3    +      2.20
   225 H Neumann                15- 7       8     5           0.00
   228 H Stevenson              16- 5      11     2    +      3.42
   304 A Rowan                   7-15      -8    -4          -0.68
   307 A TCNJ                    7-16      -9    -3    -     -2.31
   311 H Alvernia               20- 1      19    11           0.00
   314 A Christopher Newport     4-21     -17    -3          -1.81
   317 N Worcester State        20- 4      16     8           0.00
   321 A Haverford               7-17     -10    -2    -     -2.53
   325 H Widener                14- 8       6     3           1.96
   328 A Dickinson               9- 5       4     1    +      3.25
   404 H Gettysburg              8-18     -10    -4          -0.56
   406 H Washington College     13-17      -4    -1    -     -2.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A TCNJ                    7-16      -9    -3    -     -2.31
   321 A Haverford               7-17     -10    -2    -     -2.53
   406 H Washington College     13-17      -4    -1    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Moravian               14- 4      10     3    +      2.20
   228 H Stevenson              16- 5      11     2    +      3.42
   328 A Dickinson               9- 5       4     1    +      3.25

Ursinus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Ursinus   Ursinus
Albertus Magnus Ursinus   Ursinus
Albion Ursinus   Ursinus
Albright Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Alfred Ursinus   Ursinus
Alfred State Ursinus   Ursinus
Allegheny Ursinus   Ursinus
Alma Ursinus   Ursinus
Alvernia Ursinus Ursinus  
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Ursinus   Ursinus
Anna Maria Ursinus   Ursinus
Arcadia Ursinus insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ursinus
Augsburg Ursinus   Ursinus
Augustana (IL) Ursinus   Ursinus
Aurora Ursinus   Ursinus
Averett Ursinus   Ursinus
Babson Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Baldwin Wallace Ursinus   Ursinus
Bard Ursinus   Ursinus
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Ursinus   Ursinus
Berry Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Bethany Ursinus   Ursinus
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Ursinus   Ursinus
Bridgewater Ursinus   Ursinus
Bridgewater State Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
Brockport Ursinus   Ursinus
Buffalo State Ursinus   Ursinus
Cal Lutheran Ursinus   Ursinus
Calvin Ursinus   Ursinus
Canton Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Capital Ursinus   Ursinus
Carroll Ursinus   Ursinus
Carthage Ursinus   Ursinus
Castleton Ursinus   Ursinus
Catholic Catholic tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Catholic
Cedar Crest Ursinus   Ursinus
Centenary (NJ) Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Centre Ursinus   Ursinus
Chapman Ursinus   Ursinus
Chatham Ursinus   Ursinus
Chicago Chicago   Chicago
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport Christopher Newport  
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Claremont-Mudd-Scripps   Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
Clark Ursinus   Ursinus
Clarkson Ursinus   Ursinus
Coast Guard Ursinus   Ursinus
Colby Colby   Colby
Colby-Sawyer Ursinus   Ursinus
Colorado College Colorado College   Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Ursinus   Ursinus
Connecticut College Ursinus   Ursinus
Cornell College Ursinus   Ursinus
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Ursinus   Ursinus
Dean Ursinus   Ursinus
Delaware Valley Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Denison Denison Denison   3- 0 vs 1- 2
DePauw Ursinus   Ursinus
DeSales Ursinus Ursinus   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Dickinson Ursinus Ursinus  
Drew Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Eastern Ursinus Ursinus   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eastern Connecticut Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Eastern Mennonite Ursinus   Ursinus
Edgewood Ursinus   Ursinus
Elizabethtown Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Elmhurst Ursinus   Ursinus
Elmira Ursinus   Ursinus
Elms Ursinus   Ursinus
Emerson Ursinus   Ursinus
Emmanuel (MA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Endicott Endicott   Endicott
Farmingdale State Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Ursinus
FDU-Florham Ursinus   Ursinus
Ferrum Ursinus   Ursinus
Fitchburg State Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Framingham State Ursinus   Ursinus
Franciscan Ursinus   Ursinus
Franklin Ursinus   Ursinus
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Franklin & Marshall
Fredonia Ursinus   Ursinus
Geneseo Ursinus   Ursinus
Geneva College Ursinus   Ursinus
George Fox Ursinus   Ursinus
Gettysburg Gettysburg Gettysburg  
Gordon Ursinus   Ursinus
Goucher Ursinus   Ursinus
Greensboro Ursinus   Ursinus
Grove City Ursinus   Ursinus
Guilford Ursinus   Ursinus
Gwynedd Mercy Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hamline Ursinus   Ursinus
Hanover Ursinus   Ursinus
Hartford Ursinus   Ursinus
Hartwick Ursinus   Ursinus
Haverford Haverford Haverford  
Hendrix Ursinus   Ursinus
Hilbert Ursinus   Ursinus
Hood Ursinus insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ursinus
Hope Ursinus   Ursinus
Huntingdon Ursinus   Ursinus
Husson Ursinus   Ursinus
Illinois Tech Ursinus   Ursinus
Illinois Wesleyan Ursinus   Ursinus
Immaculata Ursinus Ursinus   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll Ursinus   Ursinus
Johnson & Wales Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Kalamazoo Ursinus   Ursinus
Kean Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Keene State Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Kenyon Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Keuka Ursinus   Ursinus
Kings Ursinus   Ursinus
La Roche Ursinus   Ursinus
Lake Forest Ursinus   Ursinus
Lasell Ursinus   Ursinus
Lawrence Ursinus   Ursinus
Lebanon Valley Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Ursinus
Lewis & Clark Ursinus   Ursinus
Linfield Ursinus   Ursinus
Lycoming Ursinus   Ursinus
Lynchburg Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Maine Maritime Ursinus   Ursinus
Maine-Farmington Ursinus   Ursinus
Manhattanville Ursinus   Ursinus
Marian (WI) Ursinus   Ursinus
Marietta Ursinus   Ursinus
Maritime Ursinus   Ursinus
Mary Washington Mary Washington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mary Washington
Marymount Ursinus insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ursinus
Marywood Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Massachusetts Maritime Ursinus   Ursinus
Massachusetts-Boston Ursinus   Ursinus
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
McDaniel Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Ursinus
Merchant Marine Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Meredith Ursinus   Ursinus
Messiah Messiah insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Messiah
Methodist Ursinus   Ursinus
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Ursinus Ursinus   3- 0 vs 1- 2
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Ursinus   Ursinus
Montclair State Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Moravian Ursinus Ursinus  
Morrisville Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount Aloysius Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount Holyoke Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount St Joseph Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount St Mary (NY) Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount St Vincent Ursinus   Ursinus
Mount Union Ursinus   Ursinus
MSOE Ursinus   Ursinus
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Muskingum Ursinus   Ursinus
Nazareth Ursinus   Ursinus
Neumann Ursinus Ursinus  
New England College Ursinus   Ursinus
New Paltz Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
Nichols Ursinus   Ursinus
North Carolina Wesleyan Ursinus   Ursinus
North Central (IL) Ursinus   Ursinus
Norwich Ursinus   Ursinus
Notre Dame (MD) Ursinus   Ursinus
Oberlin Ursinus   Ursinus
Occidental Ursinus   Ursinus
Oglethorpe Ursinus   Ursinus
Ohio Northern Ursinus   Ursinus
Ohio Wesleyan Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Old Westbury Ursinus   Ursinus
Oneonta Ursinus   Ursinus
Oswego Ursinus   Ursinus
Otterbein Ursinus   Ursinus
Pacific Ursinus   Ursinus
Pacific Lutheran Ursinus   Ursinus
Pfeiffer Ursinus   Ursinus
Piedmont Ursinus   Ursinus
Plattsburgh Ursinus   Ursinus
Plymouth State Ursinus   Ursinus
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   Pomona Pitzer
Potsdam Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Puget Sound Ursinus   Ursinus
Purchase Ursinus   Ursinus
Ramapo Ursinus   Ursinus
Randolph Ursinus   Ursinus
Randolph-Macon Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Redlands Ursinus   Ursinus
Regis (MA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Rhode Island College Ursinus   Ursinus
Rhodes Ursinus tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursinus
RIT Ursinus   Ursinus
Rivier Ursinus   Ursinus
Roanoke Ursinus tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Ursinus
Rochester Rochester insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester
Roger Williams Ursinus   Ursinus
Rowan Rowan Rowan  
RPI Ursinus   Ursinus
Sage Ursinus   Ursinus
Salem State Ursinus   Ursinus
Salisbury Salisbury Salisbury   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Salve Regina Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Scranton Scranton Scranton   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Sewanee Sewanee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sewanee
Shenandoah Ursinus tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ursinus
Simmons Ursinus   Ursinus
Skidmore Ursinus   Ursinus
Smith Ursinus   Ursinus
Southern Maine Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Southern Virginia Ursinus   Ursinus
Southwestern Ursinus   Ursinus
Spalding Ursinus   Ursinus
Springfield Ursinus   Ursinus
St Benedict Ursinus   Ursinus
St John Fisher St John Fisher   St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Josephs (LI) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Josephs College (ME) Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
St Lawrence Ursinus   Ursinus
St Marys (IN) Ursinus   Ursinus
St Marys (MD) Ursinus insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Ursinus
St Vincent Ursinus   Ursinus
Stevens Stevens insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Stevens
Stevenson Ursinus Ursinus  
Stockton Ursinus tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Ursinus
Suffolk Ursinus   Ursinus
SUNY Poly Ursinus   Ursinus
Susquehanna Ursinus Ursinus   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Swarthmore Swarthmore tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Swarthmore
Sweet Briar Ursinus   Ursinus
TCNJ TCNJ TCNJ  
Thiel Ursinus   Ursinus
Thomas Ursinus   Ursinus
Transylvania Ursinus   Ursinus
Trine Ursinus   Ursinus
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Trinity Washington Ursinus   Ursinus
Tufts Tufts insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tufts
U New England Ursinus   Ursinus
Union Union   Union
Utica Ursinus   Ursinus
Vassar Ursinus   Ursinus
Vermont State-Lyndon Ursinus   Ursinus
Virginia Wesleyan Ursinus   Ursinus
Warren Wilson Ursinus   Ursinus
Washington & Jefferson Ursinus   Ursinus
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Washington College Washington College Washington College  
Wellesley Ursinus   Ursinus
Wentworth Tech Ursinus   Ursinus
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Western New England Ursinus insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursinus
Westfield State Ursinus   Ursinus
Westminster (PA) Ursinus   Ursinus
Wheaton (MA) Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Whitman Ursinus   Ursinus
Whittier Ursinus   Ursinus
Whitworth Ursinus   Ursinus
Widener Ursinus Ursinus  
Wilkes Ursinus   Ursinus
Willamette Ursinus   Ursinus
William Peace Ursinus   Ursinus
William Smith William Smith   William Smith
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilson Ursinus   Ursinus
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Ursinus   Ursinus
Wisconsin-La Crosse Ursinus   Ursinus
Wisconsin-River Falls Ursinus   Ursinus
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Ursinus   Ursinus
Wisconsin-Stout Ursinus   Ursinus
Wittenberg Ursinus   Ursinus
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worcester State Ursinus Ursinus  
York York tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) York

PowerWise = 237


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Moravian        ( 7- 5, 88.6)    14- 4      -11.35      27.85       0.31         0.81            22.76
   0 H Neumann         ( 4- 6, 86.7)    15- 7      -13.20      26.00      -0.31         0.81            20.76
   0 H Stevenson       ( 6- 5, 90.4)    16- 5       -9.50      29.69      -0.31         0.81            23.75
   0 A Rowan           (10- 2, 95.7)     7-15       -4.23      34.96       0.31         0.81            -3.17
   0 A TCNJ            (10- 1, 94.0)     7-16       -5.86      33.33       0.31         0.81            -4.49
   0 H Alvernia        ( 2-10, 81.3)    20- 1      -18.56      20.64      -0.31         0.81            16.43
   0 A Christopher Ne  ( 9- 4, 94.5)     4-21       -5.36      33.84       0.31         0.81            -4.08
   0 N Worcester Stat  ( 6- 6, 83.2)    20- 4      -16.67      22.53      -0.00         0.81            18.21
   0 A Haverford       ( 8- 4, 93.8)     7-17       -6.08      33.12       0.31         0.81            -4.66
   0 H Widener         ( 7- 5, 88.9)    14- 8      -10.97      28.23      -0.31         0.81            22.56
   0 A Dickinson       ( 7- 6, 90.6)     9- 5       -9.30      29.90       0.31         0.81            24.42
   0 H Gettysburg      ( 6- 5, 96.4)     8-18       -3.49      35.71      -0.31         0.81            -3.07
   0 H Washington Col  ( 9- 3, 93.4)    13-17       -6.52      32.67      -0.31         0.81            -5.52
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       123.90

winning pts = 148.8852 losing points = -24.9866

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------